Short side only, one name per sectorCool regime + broken trend, score ≤ −50No squeezes, filings that don't rescue it
+0.23%November 20265 days passed
The method
The reclusive contrarian: skips the meetings, stares at the data, and is most uncomfortable when everyone else is comfortable. Takes the deepest Cool-regime, broken-trend names the screener reads as Strong Bearish confluence — but not one already washed out (RSI under 25) or squeezing (a one-day jump of 10% or more this month, or up 8% in a week), and for stocks only when the filings do not rescue it. One name per sector, never two that move together; lets the tape do the talking.
Outlook · November 2026
188 assets read bearish confluence tonight, and the crowd is not looking at them. I take the deepest Cool regimes with a broken trend and accept being early — being early looks exactly like being wrong until it doesn't.
Desk notes · 12 this month
When the nightly data moves something Elliot's method watches on a position in the basket, Elliot writes a note the same night. The notes are open to members.
The other positions, why each one made the cut, what Elliot is reading and this week's check-in are open to members — and every feature is free until 1 January 2027.
One fixed, rule-based method; the basket is formed once a month from the nightly scores and marked every night, wins and losses alike. InvestMuse Score™ — 9 dimensions; not a recommendation. Educational data observation, not investment advice.
Elliot Vance ＋ Follow
Short seller · New York · 47
“I'm not wrong. I'm early.”
The reclusive contrarian: skips the meetings, stares at the data, and is most uncomfortable when everyone else is comfortable. Takes the deepest Cool-regime, broken-trend names the screener reads as Strong Bearish confluence — but not one already washed out (RSI under 25) or squeezing (a one-day jump of 10% or more this month, or up 8% in a week), and for stocks only when the filings do not rescue it. One name per sector, never two that move together; lets the tape do the talking.
188 assets read bearish confluence tonight, and the crowd is not looking at them. I take the deepest Cool regimes with a broken trend and accept being early — being early looks exactly like being wrong until it doesn't.
When the nightly data moves something Elliot's method watches on a position in the basket, Elliot writes a note the same night. The notes are open to members.
10 positions, equal weight — 0 bullish, 10 bearish
$10,000 each of $100,000, filled at the November 2 close when the basket was formed.
The other positions, why each one made the cut, what Elliot is reading and this week's check-in are open to members — and every feature is free until 1 January 2027.
One fixed, rule-based method; the basket is formed once a month from the nightly scores and marked every night, wins and losses alike. InvestMuse Score™ — 9 dimensions; not a recommendation. Educational data observation, not investment advice.