Built for swing & daily-bar traders.

Who this is for

If you hold positions for days to months and want a rules-based, regime-aware read on when a name is in a favourable state, this is your door. If you trade minute bars or scalp perps, it is honestly not your tool: the whole engine works on daily bars and publishes after the close. We would rather tell you that now than sell you a cadence we do not run.

The methodology, in plain terms

A Hidden Markov Model classifies each asset into an unobservable market regime — accumulation, trending, distribution, high-volatility — inferred purely from the statistical structure of returns and volatility. That regime read is one of nine dimensions scored every night: HMM regime, Technical, Trend, Support/Resistance, Fundamental, Sector Edge, Sentiment, Momentum and Pattern. The composite is a view, not a recommendation. The pipeline runs after market close and re-scores the entire universe as new daily bars land.

How often does the regime change? Measured on the nightly history of about 1,240 assets over the last twelve months: a typical asset switches regime about 15 times a year. Most switches are short, a median regime lasts 4 sessions, yet more than half of all trading days sit inside regimes that last a month or longer. Single stocks are the jumpiest (US stocks about 14 switches a year, other markets about 25); indices, currencies and commodities are calmer at 8 to 10 a year, with a median regime of three to five weeks. The InvestMuse HMM AlgoTrader acts only on a switch, so on most days it does nothing on purpose. (Measured 6 October 2026.)

What “win rate” means here

Win rate = the share of closed trades that ended positive, across the strategy's full universe over the stated window. It is a diagnostic, not a performance claim: a win rate says nothing about the size of wins versus losses. A strategy can have a high win rate and still lose money if its losers are large — which is why we show profit factor, drawdown and Sharpe alongside it, never win rate alone.

Honest limitations

The tracked record covers a multi-year window in specific market environments; a different period could look different. It is hypothetical: a model portfolio, not a fund you can buy. Everything here is end-of-day by design — it says nothing about intraday moves, and past patterns do not guarantee future results. We show all of this because a strategy you can only see through the marketing is not one you can trust.

First 250 members · every feature free until 1 January 2027