Metals + commodities onlyLong or short, only convincing readsAt most 2 + 2, monthly re-set
-1.22%November 20265 days passed
The method
Left the trading floor years ago and trusts only things you can weigh. At month start picks — never sweeps — the metals and commodities whose composite is convincing (|score| ≥ 25) with the regime agreeing, and only when the whole technical read agrees with the side: the technical, trend and momentum dimensions, the 20-day over the 50-day average and the price on the right side of it, no RSI extreme, no level, zone or pattern pointing the other way, and no violent day against the trade this month. Ranked on all of it together; up to five long and five short, one per underlying and never two on one side that move together. Holds at least four: if the metals and commodities give fewer, he adds commodity-linked stocks (miners, energy and agri producers) that pass the same reading, and only then relaxes the full technical agreement.
Outlook · November 2026
Commodities trend in regimes longer than equities and care little for quarterly stories. Each month I keep or flip every position by the sign of its composite — no forecasting, no hero calls, just the book re-set on the first of the month.
Desk notes · 6 this month
When the nightly data moves something Dariusz's method watches on a position in the basket, Dariusz writes a note the same night. The notes are open to members.
Big move2026-11-06members
Composite flipped2026-11-05members
Regime turn2026-11-05members
Composite flipped2026-11-05members
Dariusz's November 2026 basket
9 positions, equal weight — 4 bullish, 5 bearish
$11,111 each of $100,000, filled at the November 2 close when the basket was formed.
Members only
Dariusz's best position this month — open to everyone
The other positions, why each one made the cut, what Dariusz is reading and this week's check-in are open to members — and every feature is free until 1 January 2027.
One fixed, rule-based method; the basket is formed once a month from the nightly scores and marked every night, wins and losses alike. InvestMuse Score™ — 9 dimensions; not a recommendation. Educational data observation, not investment advice.
Dariusz Kowal ＋ Follow
Metals & commodities · Kraków · 52
“Paper lies. Copper doesn't.”
Left the trading floor years ago and trusts only things you can weigh. At month start picks — never sweeps — the metals and commodities whose composite is convincing (|score| ≥ 25) with the regime agreeing, and only when the whole technical read agrees with the side: the technical, trend and momentum dimensions, the 20-day over the 50-day average and the price on the right side of it, no RSI extreme, no level, zone or pattern pointing the other way, and no violent day against the trade this month. Ranked on all of it together; up to five long and five short, one per underlying and never two on one side that move together. Holds at least four: if the metals and commodities give fewer, he adds commodity-linked stocks (miners, energy and agri producers) that pass the same reading, and only then relaxes the full technical agreement.
Commodities trend in regimes longer than equities and care little for quarterly stories. Each month I keep or flip every position by the sign of its composite — no forecasting, no hero calls, just the book re-set on the first of the month.
When the nightly data moves something Dariusz's method watches on a position in the basket, Dariusz writes a note the same night. The notes are open to members.
9 positions, equal weight — 4 bullish, 5 bearish
$11,111 each of $100,000, filled at the November 2 close when the basket was formed.
The other positions, why each one made the cut, what Dariusz is reading and this week's check-in are open to members — and every feature is free until 1 January 2027.
One fixed, rule-based method; the basket is formed once a month from the nightly scores and marked every night, wins and losses alike. InvestMuse Score™ — 9 dimensions; not a recommendation. Educational data observation, not investment advice.