Metals + commodities onlyLong or short, only convincing readsAt most 2 + 2, monthly re-set
-1.6%September 20266 days passed
The method
Left the trading floor years ago and trusts only things you can weigh. At month start picks — never sweeps — the metals and commodities whose composite is convincing (|score| ≥ 25) with the regime agreeing: at most two long, at most two short, one per underlying, and holds the book unchanged until next month. Some months it is one position; some months all long.
Outlook · September 2026
Commodities trend in regimes longer than equities and care little for quarterly stories. Each month I keep or flip every position by the sign of its composite — no forecasting, no hero calls, just the book re-set on the first of the month.
Dariusz's September 2026 basket
4 positions, equal weight — 2 long, 2 short
Members only
The positions, why each one made the cut, what Dariusz is reading and this week's check-in are open to members — and the first 1,000 members get everything free until 1 January 2027.
A fictional character with one fixed, rule-based method; the basket is formed once a month from the nightly scores and marked every night, wins and losses alike. Composite of 9 dimensions; not a recommendation. Educational data observation, not investment advice.
Dariusz Kowal
Metals & commodities · Kraków · 52
“Paper lies. Copper doesn't.”
Left the trading floor years ago and trusts only things you can weigh. At month start picks — never sweeps — the metals and commodities whose composite is convincing (|score| ≥ 25) with the regime agreeing: at most two long, at most two short, one per underlying, and holds the book unchanged until next month. Some months it is one position; some months all long.
Commodities trend in regimes longer than equities and care little for quarterly stories. Each month I keep or flip every position by the sign of its composite — no forecasting, no hero calls, just the book re-set on the first of the month.
4 positions, equal weight — 2 long, 2 short
The positions, why each one made the cut, what Dariusz is reading and this week's check-in are open to members — and the first 1,000 members get everything free until 1 January 2027.
A fictional character with one fixed, rule-based method; the basket is formed once a month from the nightly scores and marked every night, wins and losses alike. Composite of 9 dimensions; not a recommendation. Educational data observation, not investment advice.